Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000526 0.000599 0.000677 0.000765 0.000862 0.000966 0.001085
2026-01-25 0.000420 0.000522 0.000638 0.000778 0.000942 0.001128 0.001352
2026-02-01 0.000356 0.000471 0.000606 0.000777 0.000986 0.001229 0.001533
2026-02-08 0.000298 0.000416 0.000562 0.000754 0.000995 0.001286 0.001660
2026-02-15 0.000254 0.000373 0.000527 0.000735 0.001005 0.001339 0.001779
2026-02-22 0.000223 0.000344 0.000505 0.000730 0.001030 0.001410 0.001919
2026-03-01 0.000199 0.000321 0.000488 0.000729 0.001057 0.001481 0.002060
2026-03-08 0.000176 0.000296 0.000467 0.000719 0.001070 0.001534 0.002179
2026-03-15 0.000155 0.000273 0.000445 0.000706 0.001079 0.001579 0.002286
2026-03-22 0.000146 0.000266 0.000446 0.000725 0.001130 0.001682 0.002473
2026-03-29 0.000135 0.000256 0.000442 0.000735 0.001169 0.001769 0.002640
2026-04-05 0.000121 0.000239 0.000426 0.000727 0.001180 0.001818 0.002754
2026-04-12 0.000109 0.000223 0.000410 0.000719 0.001193 0.001868 0.002874
2026-04-19 0.000100 0.000214 0.000405 0.000726 0.001227 0.001951 0.003041
2026-04-26 0.000092 0.000204 0.000396 0.000727 0.001251 0.002019 0.003189
2026-05-03 0.000080 0.000186 0.000374 0.000704 0.001238 0.002032 0.003256
2026-05-10 0.000071 0.000171 0.000355 0.000686 0.001231 0.002053 0.003335
2026-05-17 0.000064 0.000162 0.000345 0.000682 0.001245 0.002105 0.003460
2026-05-24 0.000058 0.000154 0.000337 0.000680 0.001263 0.002163 0.003596
2026-05-31 0.000052 0.000144 0.000325 0.000671 0.001267 0.002200 0.003700
2026-06-07 0.000047 0.000134 0.000312 0.000659 0.001267 0.002229 0.003792
2026-06-14 0.000045 0.000133 0.000316 0.000676 0.001316 0.002337 0.004007
2026-06-21 0.000042 0.000130 0.000315 0.000686 0.001352 0.002425 0.004192